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| China's Economy Appears Unstoppable |
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With a population of 1.3 billion, an annual GDP growth of 9.3 percent that has lasted over the last 27 years, China has trail-blazed a redoubtable, awe-inspiring path into the history books.
Considering the global economy, he was confident about China's high-speed economic growth. "The promising trend will last for at least 20 more years and the average annual GDP growth will be between 6-10 percent," he affirmed. According to him, China will continue to take the advantage of labor force in the future. He listed four reasons: Firstly, China's abundant and competent work force will not lose its leading position in the world in the next 20 years. Development depends on resources and in 2004, the population in rural areas, as the main source of the low-cost labor force, represented 58.2 percent of the population, a figure that should stand at 20 percent before the country's economy can truly boom. Secondly, domestic demands will become the major economic momentum in the future. The privilege of a 1.3 billion population cannot be conquered easily by any country. The domestic demand will alternate with the current engine -- the foreign trade. Thirdly, deeper reform stimulates a nation's productivity and creativity. Through reform, resources will be better utilized and efficiency of enterprises will also see improvement. Finally, embraced by the open and fair international environment, China can make a better use of the global market and resources. Mr. Hai also pointed out four challenges that concern him most. First, the Chinese government should take measures to avoid serious macro-economic fluctuations since many of these are not caused by the market or enterprises, but the government itself at all levels. Unreasonable investment from local governments should be curbed with overheated industries being cooled down. Second, "omni-field" small or moderate enterprises should be stream-lined. Only can professional and competent ones really safely sail in the raging sea of international market. Third, social stability and order should be emphasized. The market cannot resolve problems of social fairness and justice. For example, the income gap has drawn widely attention. The improvement of people's purchase capability relies on both economic development and income distribution. Last, facing complex international relations issues, such as anti-dumping cases, trade wars, exchange disputes and so forth, the government should balance all the strength and fit it. He stressed that China should insist on the market-oriented reform, change the role of government in the economic development, shake off the outdated traditional ideology and fully devote itself into the globalization. (China.org.cn by Wang Ke, September 8, 2006) |
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