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Gold demand likely to reach record after bumper growth
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China's demand for gold rose in the third quarter as a hedge against inflation and on expectation of strong returns from the stock market, the World Gold Council said yesterday.

 

Gold demand this year is expected to hit a record, the gold advocate said.

 

Gold demand in China, including the mainland, Hong Kong and Taiwan, rose 24 percent in the third quarter to 88.1 tons, the World Gold Council said.

 

Mainland gold demand rose 25 percent to 78.9 tons in the three months ending in September. Gold jewelry demand rose 24 percent in the period to 74.8 tons, while investment gold demand rose 43 percent to 4.1 tons on China's mainland in the third quarter.

 

"A strong economic growth and expectation of high returns from the red-hot stock market have given residents more money for spending," the gold advocate said yesterday.

 

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index has more than doubled in the first three quarters this year. Investment returns have given a shot in the arm for consumption, including spending on gold.

 

Rising inflation rates have also boosted demand for the metal, seen as a traditional hedge against inflation.

 

China's consumer price index, the main gauge of inflation, rose 6.2 percent in September and further rose to 6.5 percent in October.

 

The People's Bank of China said whole-year inflation may sit at 4.5 percent, beyond its target of three percent.

 

"We expect gold demand in 2007 to set a record in China," said Wang Lixin, general manager of the World Gold Council in China, without giving exact figures.

 

Rising gold prices are not likely to curb appetite for investment gold bullion in China in the fourth quarter, though the thirst for gold jewelry may be reined in, the council said.

 

Gold prices have soared 29 percent this year as the US dollar lags and energy costs rise. Gold prices are approaching a 28-year high, rising above US$820 an ounce.

 

In China, retail gold investment demand peaks at Spring Festival as gold companies and jewelers issue investment-grade gold bars marking the new Chinese lunar year.

 

Pre-sales of gold bullions marking the lunar Year of the Mouse are healthy. China Gold Coin Inc, the country's sole wholesaler of gold bars and coins, plans to sell three tons of gold bars on the Chinese mainland next year.

 

(Shanghai Daily November 27, 2007)

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